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Chapman Sees Slowing Economy

The economies of Orange County, California and the U.S. should continue their expansions next year, albeit at slower rates, according to Chapman University’s annual economic forecast.

Chapman predicts Orange County’s job growth will be 2.2% this year, a net increase of 35,000 jobs. Growth should slow to 1.7% next year, it said.

California continues to generate more jobs than the rest of the country, 2.0% versus 1.6% for the U.S. California’s job growth should slow to 1.5% next year, the school predicted.

The U.S. economy’s growth should be 2.9% this year, up from Chapman’s revised June forecast of 2.7%. Next year, it should grow about 2.4%, it predicted.

“Growth will slow but it will continue and we will avoid the recession usually marked by a weakness in residential construction and investment,” Chapman said in its report.

Chapman President Emeritus Jim Doti made the presentation this afternoon at the Segerstrom Center for the Arts in Costa Mesa.

The Business Journal’s Dec. 17 edition will share more detailed information from the report.

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Peter J. Brennan
Peter J. Brennan
With four decades of experience in journalism, Peter J. Brennan has built a career that spans diverse news topics and global coverage. From reporting on wars, narcotics trafficking, and natural disasters to analyzing business and financial markets, Peter’s work reflects a commitment to impactful storytelling. Peter’s association with the Orange County Business Journal began in 1997, where he worked until 2000 before moving to Bloomberg News. During his 15 years at Bloomberg, his reporting often influenced financial markets, with headlines and articles moving the market caps of major companies by hundreds of millions of dollars. In 2017, Peter returned to the Orange County Business Journal as Financial Editor, bringing his heavy business industry expertise. Over the years, he advanced to Executive Editor and, in 2024, was named Editor-in-Chief. Peter’s work has been featured in prestigious publications such as The New York Times and The Washington Post, and he has appeared on CNN, CBC, BBC, and Bloomberg TV. A Kiplinger Fellowship recipient at The Ohio State University, he leads the Business Journal with a dedication to uncovering stories that matter and shaping the local business community and beyond.
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